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SCHOOL
DATA & REPORTS:
FY
2001 VERMONT PUBLIC SCHOOL DROPOUT REPORT
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| This report summarizes
the number of students grades 7 through 12 who withdraw from secondary schools in
Vermont during the school year or preceding summer. Statistics are calculated as
an event dropout rate, which is the number of dropouts in a particular grade level
divided by the adjusted enrollment for that grade level in a single school year. |
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TABLE
OF CONTENTS
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EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
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The FY01 School Dropout
Report presents and summarizes information on students in grades 7 through 12 who
withdrew from secondary schools in Vermont during the 2000-2001 school year and the
preceding summer. Data included in this report were collected as part of the Department
of Education’s 2001 Register Data Collection.
A dropout by state and federal definition is an individual student who is not enrolled
in an approved educational program and who has not graduated from high school. In
Vermont, a student who is absent for more than 10 consecutive school days without
authorization is classified as "withdrawn". If a truant officer is unable
to verify that the student has transferred to a different school or approved educational
program (e.g., home school) before the end of the year the student is considered
a dropout for the purposes of this report. A summer dropout is a student who completed
the previous school year, was absent for the first 10 days of the current school
year, and who does not transfer to a different educational program. Appendix A is
a guide published by the National Center of Education Statistics to clarify whether
a student no longer attending school is a dropout.
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Top
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DROPOUT
RATES
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A dropout rate is simply
the number of dropouts in a particular grade level divided by the adjusted enrollment
for that grade level in a single school year. In FY01, the overall Vermont dropout
rate for grades 7 through 12 was 3.13%, while the rates for grades 9 through 12 was
4.66%. This figure is comparable to national data for FY99 which indicate that 5.0
± 0.3% of students enrolled in grades 10 through 12 had dropped out.
The dropout rate in both the 7th through 12th grade category and the 9th through
12th grade category peaked in FY96. The dropout rates in these categories then
declined for a few years and has been stable for the past several years. |
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Grade
by Grade Comparison of Dropout Rates |
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As in previous years,
dropout rates increase with grade level. Statewide, 7th and 8th grade dropout levels
remain below 1%, while dropout rates in high school vary from 2.92% in the 9th grade
to 5.69% in the 12th grade. In FY01 there was no consistent pattern of increases
or declines in dropout rates by grade compared to FY00. |
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Table
1: Grade by Grade Comparison of Dropout Rates
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Grade
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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7-12
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9-12
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FY
96
FY
97
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0.17%
0.14%
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0.30%
0.23%
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3.22%
3.26%
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4.65%
4.25%
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6.46%
6.21%
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7.25%
6.60%
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3.45%
3.24%
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5.26%
4.96%
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FY
98
FY
99
FY
00
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0.07%
0.22%
0.15%
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0.10%
0.19%
0.23%
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3.39%
2.90%
3.15%
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5.06%
4.38%
4.38%
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6.07%
5.99%
5.76%
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6.11%
5.19%
5.66%
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3.36%
3.06%
3.16%
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5.06%
4.52%
4.67%
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FY
01
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0.06%
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0.11%
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2.92%
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4.53%
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5.70%
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5.69%
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3.13%
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4.66%
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Top
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METHODOLOGY
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Data included in this
report were collected in the Register Data Collection Survey conducted during July
2001. Only students withdrawing from grades 7 through 12 were used in the calculation
of dropout rates. Beginning in FY94, the data include dropouts from the five independent
schools: Bellows Free Academy, Burr & Burton, Lyndon Institute, St. Johnsbury
Academy and Thetford Academy.
To calculate the dropout
rate, an adjusted enrollment count is first derived by adding the number of students
reported at the end of the year as having been promoted, receiving a GED, not promoted,
and dropped out during the summer of 2000 or during the 2000-2001 school year. Transfers
and deaths are not included. The number of students reported in the dropout category
is then divided by the adjusted enrollment. The resulting dropout rate, known as
an event rate, represents the percentage of students who drop out over the course
of a single year.
School
year dropouts + Preceding summer dropouts = Numerator
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Students
Promoted + Receiving a GED + Not Promoted + School year dropouts +
Preceding summer dropouts = Denominator
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When comparing Vermont
dropout rates to those of other states, it is important to be sure that the rates
have been calculated in the same way. In addition to event rates, the National Center
for Education Statistics also reports status and cohort rates. Status rates reflect
the percentage of the population within a particular age range (frequently 18-25)
who have not completed high school, while cohort rates represent the percentage of
a single group of students of the same age or grade level who drop out over an extended
period of time. Because event rates represent only those students who dropped out
over the course of a particular year, they are often lower than the status rates
calculated in the cohort. For the purposes of this report, dropout rate will refer
to the event rate described above. |
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Top
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DROPOUT
TRENDS FOR 1992 THROUGH 2001
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Between 1992 and 1996,
the dropout rate for 7th through 12th grades in Vermont increased slightly each year,
from a low of 2.76% in FY92 to a high of 3.45% in FY96. The 9th through 12th grade
dropout rate during the same time period also increased slightly each year, from
a low of 3.99% in FY92 to a high of 5.26% in FY96. In FY97 the dropout rates declined
to 3.24% for 7th through 12th grades, and 4.96% for 9th through 12th grades. In FY98,
the dropout rates increased slightly over the FY97 levels in both the 7-12 and 9-12
categories. The dropout rate for FY99 decreased to its lowest level since FY93. In
FY00 the dropout rates increased slightly over the FY99 levels in both the 7-12 and
9-12 categories. The dropout rates for FY01 declined to 3.13% for 7th through 12th
grades and 4.66% for 9th through 12th grades. The following table and figures illustrate
these trends. |
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Table
2: Dropout Trends for 1992 through 2001
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Year
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Adjusted
Enrollment
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Number
of Dropouts
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Total
Dropouts
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Dropout
Rate
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7th-
12th
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9th-
12th
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7th
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8th
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9th
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10th
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11th
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12th
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7-
12th
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9-
12th
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7-
12th
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9-
12th
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FY
92
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41,004
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26,548
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32
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38
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215
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238
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335
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272
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1,130
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1,060
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2.76%
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3.99%
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FY
93
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41,782
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26,964
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54
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39
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217
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235
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315
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319
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1,179
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1,086
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2.82%
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4.02%
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FY
94*
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42,687
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27,377
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40
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35
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200
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306
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366
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397
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1,344
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1,269
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3.15%
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4.64%
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FY
95*
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44,320
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28,431
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37
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38
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210
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306
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402
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424
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1,417
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1,342
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3.20%
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4.72%
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FY
96*
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45,364
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29,006
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14
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24
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262
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347
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446
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472
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1,565
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1,527
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3.45%
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5.26%
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FY
97*
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46,790
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29,935
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12
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19
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277
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327
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443
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437
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1,515
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1,484
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3.24%
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4.96%
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FY
98
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47,661
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31,329
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6
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8
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300
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406
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448
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432
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1,600
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1,586
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3.36%
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5.06%
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FY
99
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48,218
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31,856
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18
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16
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260
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363
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451
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367
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1,475
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1,441
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3.06%
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4.52%
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FY
00
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48,112
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31,936
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12
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19
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274
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364
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446
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407
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1,522
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1,491
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3.16%
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4.67%
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FY
01
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47,584
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31,676
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5
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9
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247
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362
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443
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423
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1,489
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1,475
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3.13%
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4.66%
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*Based
on October 1 enrollment from previous year
(Example: FY94 figure is enrollment as of October 1, 1993).
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Figure
1
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Figure
2
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Dropout
Trends by Grade |
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When analyzed by grade,
it is apparent that dropout rates increase with grade level. The lowest rates have
been in grades 7 and 8, while the highest have been in grades 11 and 12. |
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Table
3: Dropout Trends by Grade
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1992
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1993
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1994
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1995
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1996
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1997
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1998
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1999
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2000
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2001
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Grade
7
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0.33%
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0.71%
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0.51%
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0.46%
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0.17%
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0.14%
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0.07%
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0.22%
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0.15%
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0.06%
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Grade
8
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0.46%
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0.54%
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0.47%
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0.49%
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0.30%
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0.23%
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0.10%
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0.19%
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0.23%
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0.11%
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Grade
9
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3.24%
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3.25%
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2.66%
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2.63%
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3.22%
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3.26%
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3.39%
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2.90%
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3.15%
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2.92%
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Grade
10
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3.88%
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3.72%
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4.40%
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4.19%
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4.65%
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4.25%
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5.06%
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4.38%
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4.38%
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4.53%
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Grade
11
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5.45%
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5.73%
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5.37%
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5.48%
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6.03%
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6.21%
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6.07%
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5.99%
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5.76%
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5.70%
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Grade
12
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4.79%
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5.69%
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6.38%
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6.57%
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7.25%
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6.60%
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6.11%
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5.19%
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5.66%
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5.69%
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Figure
3
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Top
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NUMBER
OF DROPOUTS BY GRADE LEVEL 1992-1001
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Since 1992, between 25
and 30% of the total number of 7th through 12th grade dropouts have left school during
the 12th grade. Between 15 and 20% have dropped out of 9th grade, while only 1% to
5% have dropped out of 7th grade (see figure 4). |
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Table
4: Number of Dropouts by Grade Level 1992-2001
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1992
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1993
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1994
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1995
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1996
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1997
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1998
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1999
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2000
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2001
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Grade
7
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32
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54
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40
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37
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14
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12
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6
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18
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12
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5
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Grade
8
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38
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39
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35
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38
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24
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19
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8
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16
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19
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9
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Grade
9
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215
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217
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200
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210
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262
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277
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300
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260
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274
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247
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Grade
10
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238
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235
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306
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306
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347
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327
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406
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363
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364
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362
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Grade
11
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335
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315
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366
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402
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446
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443
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448
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451
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446
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443
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Grade
12
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272
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319
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397
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424
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472
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437
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432
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367
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407
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423
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Figure
4
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Top
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NINE
YEAR COMPARISON
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When 1992 dropout rates
are compared to 2001 figures, grade level increases are seen in grades 10, 11 and
12. By contrast, the number of dropouts in grades 7, 8 and 9 has decreased slightly
since 1992. |
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Table
5: Nine Year Comparison
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1992
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2001
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Grade
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Dropout
Rate
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Dropout
Rate
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Change
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7
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.33%
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0.06%
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-0.27%
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8
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.46%
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.11%
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- 0.35%
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9
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3.24%
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2.92%
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- 0.32%
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10
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3.88%
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4.53%
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+ 0.65%
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11
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5.45%
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5.70%
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+ 0.25%
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12
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4.79%
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5.69%
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+0.90%
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-
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